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Biblioteca (s) : |
INIA Treinta y Tres. |
Fecha : |
28/03/2016 |
Actualizado : |
24/09/2018 |
Tipo de producción científica : |
Artículos en Revistas Indexadas Internacionales |
Autor : |
BASSU, S.; BRISSON, N.; DURAND, J.L.; BOOTE, K.; LIZASO, J.; JONES, J.W.; ROSENZWEIG, C.; RUANE, A.C.; ADAM, M.; BARON, C.; BASSO, B.; BIERNATH, C.; BOOGAARD, H.; CONIJN, S.; CORBEELS, M.L; DERYNG, D.; SANTIS, G. DE; GAYLER, S.; GRASSINI, P.; HATFIELD, J.; HOEK, S.; IZAURRALDE, C.; JONGSCHAAP, R.; KEMANIAN, A.R.; KERSEBAUM, C.KIM, S-H.; KUMAR, N.; MAKOWSKI, D.; MÜLLER, C.; NENDEL, C.; PRIESACK, E.; PRAVIA, V.; SAU, F.; SHCHERBAK, I.; TAO, F.; TEXEIRA, E.; TIMLIN, D.; WAHA, K. |
Afiliación : |
MARIA VIRGINIA PRAVIA NIN, INIA (Instituto Nacional de Investigación Agropecuaria), Uruguay; Department of Plant Science, The Pennsylvania State University, USA. |
Título : |
How do various maize crop models vary in their responses to climate change factors? |
Fecha de publicación : |
2014 |
Fuente / Imprenta : |
Global Change Biology, 2014, v.20(7), p. 2301-2320. |
DOI : |
10.1111/gcb.12520 |
Idioma : |
Inglés |
Notas : |
Article history: Received 7 June 2013 and accepted 2 December 2013, published 2014. |
Contenido : |
Abstract:
Potential consequences of climate change on crop production can be studied using mechanistic crop simulation models. While a broad variety of maize simulation models exist, it is not known whether different models diverge on grain yield responses to changes in climatic factors, or whether they agree in their general trends related to phenology, growth, and yield. With the goal of analyzing the sensitivity of simulated yields to changes in temperature and atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations [CO2], we present the largest maize crop model intercomparison to date, including 23 different models. These models were evaluated for four locations representing a wide range of maize production conditions in the world: Lusignan (France), Ames (USA), Rio Verde (Brazil) and Morogoro (Tanzania).
While individual models differed considerably in absolute yield simulation at the four sites, an ensemble of a minimum number of models was able to simulate absolute yields accurately at the four sites even with low data forcalibration, thus suggesting that using an ensemble of models has merit. Temperature increase had strong negative influence on modeled yield response of roughly 0.5 Mg ha1 per °C. Doubling [CO2] from 360 to 720 lmol mol1 increased grain yield by 7.5% on average across models and the sites. That would therefore make temperature the main factor altering maize yields at the end of this century. Furthermore, there was a large uncertainty in the yield response to [CO2] among models. Model responses to temperature and [CO2] did not differ whether models were simulated with low calibration information or, simulated with high level of calibration information. MenosAbstract:
Potential consequences of climate change on crop production can be studied using mechanistic crop simulation models. While a broad variety of maize simulation models exist, it is not known whether different models diverge on grain yield responses to changes in climatic factors, or whether they agree in their general trends related to phenology, growth, and yield. With the goal of analyzing the sensitivity of simulated yields to changes in temperature and atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations [CO2], we present the largest maize crop model intercomparison to date, including 23 different models. These models were evaluated for four locations representing a wide range of maize production conditions in the world: Lusignan (France), Ames (USA), Rio Verde (Brazil) and Morogoro (Tanzania).
While individual models differed considerably in absolute yield simulation at the four sites, an ensemble of a minimum number of models was able to simulate absolute yields accurately at the four sites even with low data forcalibration, thus suggesting that using an ensemble of models has merit. Temperature increase had strong negative influence on modeled yield response of roughly 0.5 Mg ha1 per °C. Doubling [CO2] from 360 to 720 lmol mol1 increased grain yield by 7.5% on average across models and the sites. That would therefore make temperature the main factor altering maize yields at the end of this century. Furthermore, there was a large uncertainty in the yield response to [CO2]... Presentar Todo |
Palabras claves : |
AGMIP; CARBON DIOXIDE; CLIMATE; CO2; GRAIN YIELD; MAIZE; MODEL INTERCOMPARISON; MODELIZACIÓN DE CULTIVOS; SIMULATION MODELS; TEMPERATURE. |
Thesagro : |
CLIMA; DIOXIDO DE CARBONO; INCERTIDUMBRE; MAÍZ; MODELOS DE SIMULACIÓN; TEMPERATURA. |
Asunto categoría : |
U10 Métodos matemáticos y estadísticos |
Marc : |
LEADER 03684naa a2200769 a 4500 001 1054517 005 2018-09-24 008 2014 bl uuuu u00u1 u #d 024 7 $a10.1111/gcb.12520$2DOI 100 1 $aBASSU, S. 245 $aHow do various maize crop models vary in their responses to climate change factors?$h[electronic resource] 260 $c2014 500 $aArticle history: Received 7 June 2013 and accepted 2 December 2013, published 2014. 520 $aAbstract: Potential consequences of climate change on crop production can be studied using mechanistic crop simulation models. While a broad variety of maize simulation models exist, it is not known whether different models diverge on grain yield responses to changes in climatic factors, or whether they agree in their general trends related to phenology, growth, and yield. With the goal of analyzing the sensitivity of simulated yields to changes in temperature and atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations [CO2], we present the largest maize crop model intercomparison to date, including 23 different models. These models were evaluated for four locations representing a wide range of maize production conditions in the world: Lusignan (France), Ames (USA), Rio Verde (Brazil) and Morogoro (Tanzania). While individual models differed considerably in absolute yield simulation at the four sites, an ensemble of a minimum number of models was able to simulate absolute yields accurately at the four sites even with low data forcalibration, thus suggesting that using an ensemble of models has merit. Temperature increase had strong negative influence on modeled yield response of roughly 0.5 Mg ha1 per °C. Doubling [CO2] from 360 to 720 lmol mol1 increased grain yield by 7.5% on average across models and the sites. That would therefore make temperature the main factor altering maize yields at the end of this century. Furthermore, there was a large uncertainty in the yield response to [CO2] among models. Model responses to temperature and [CO2] did not differ whether models were simulated with low calibration information or, simulated with high level of calibration information. 650 $aCLIMA 650 $aDIOXIDO DE CARBONO 650 $aINCERTIDUMBRE 650 $aMAÍZ 650 $aMODELOS DE SIMULACIÓN 650 $aTEMPERATURA 653 $aAGMIP 653 $aCARBON DIOXIDE 653 $aCLIMATE 653 $aCO2 653 $aGRAIN YIELD 653 $aMAIZE 653 $aMODEL INTERCOMPARISON 653 $aMODELIZACIÓN DE CULTIVOS 653 $aSIMULATION MODELS 653 $aTEMPERATURE 700 1 $aBRISSON, N. 700 1 $aDURAND, J.L. 700 1 $aBOOTE, K. 700 1 $aLIZASO, J. 700 1 $aJONES, J.W. 700 1 $aROSENZWEIG, C. 700 1 $aRUANE, A.C. 700 1 $aADAM, M. 700 1 $aBARON, C. 700 1 $aBASSO, B. 700 1 $aBIERNATH, C. 700 1 $aBOOGAARD, H. 700 1 $aCONIJN, S. 700 1 $aCORBEELS, M.L 700 1 $aDERYNG, D. 700 1 $aSANTIS, G. DE 700 1 $aGAYLER, S. 700 1 $aGRASSINI, P. 700 1 $aHATFIELD, J. 700 1 $aHOEK, S. 700 1 $aIZAURRALDE, C. 700 1 $aJONGSCHAAP, R. 700 1 $aKEMANIAN, A.R. 700 1 $aKERSEBAUM, C.KIM, S-H. 700 1 $aKUMAR, N. 700 1 $aMAKOWSKI, D. 700 1 $aMÜLLER, C. 700 1 $aNENDEL, C. 700 1 $aPRIESACK, E. 700 1 $aPRAVIA, V. 700 1 $aSAU, F. 700 1 $aSHCHERBAK, I. 700 1 $aTAO, F. 700 1 $aTEXEIRA, E. 700 1 $aTIMLIN, D. 700 1 $aWAHA, K. 773 $tGlobal Change Biology, 2014$gv.20(7), p. 2301-2320.
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2. | | INVERNIZZI, CIRO; NOGUEIRA, E.; JURI, P.; SANTOS, E.; ARREDONDO, D.; BRANCHICCELA, B.; MENDOZA, Y.; ANTÚNEZ, K. Epormenis cestri secretions in Sebastiania schottiana trees cause mass death of honey bee Apis mellifera larvae in Uruguay. PLoS ONE, January 2018, Volume 13, Issue 1, Article number e0190697. OPEN ACCESS. Doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0190697 Article history: Published: January 9, 2018.Tipo: Artículos en Revistas Indexadas Internacionales | Circulación / Nivel : Internacional - -- |
Biblioteca(s): INIA Las Brujas. |
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3. | | INVERNIZZI, C.; NOGUEIRA, E.; JURI, P.; SANTOS, E.; ARREDONDO, D.; BRANCHICCELA, B.; ANTÚNEZ, K.; ROSSINI, C. Identificación de los agentes causales del Mal del Río en las abejas melíferas. Montevideo (UY): INIA, 2020. 28 p. (Serie FPTA-INIA; 84). Proyecto FPTA 322: "Identificación de los agentes causales del Mal del Río en las abejas melíferas. " Período de ejecución: Junio 2014 - Diciembre 2017. Institución ejecutora: Universidad de la República, Facultad de Ciencias....Biblioteca(s): INIA Las Brujas. |
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5. | | BRANCHICCELA, B.; ANTÚNEZ, K.; ARREDONDO, D.; CASTELLI, L.; DIAZ, S.; JURI, P.; NOGUEIRA, E.; SILVA, C.; RAMALLO, G.; INVERNIZZI, C. Abejas tolerantes y susceptibles a Varroa destructor: consecuencias a nivel poblacional, sanitario y productivo. Sustentabilidad. Revista INIA Uruguay, Junio 2023, no.73, p.78-81. (Revista INIA; 73).Tipo: Artículos en Revistas Agropecuarias |
Biblioteca(s): INIA Las Brujas. |
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6. | | ANTÚNEZ, K.; ARREDONDO, D.; CASTELLI, L.; SILVA, F.; AÑON, G.; HARRIET, J.; CAMPÁ, J.; INVERNIZZI, C.; ZUNINO, P. Desarrollo de una estrategia natural para el control de Varroa destructor, integrando el uso de probióticos y productos orgánicos. Montevideo (UY): INIA, 2019. 31 p. (Serie FPTA-INIA; 75). Proyecto FPTA-329: Desarrollo de una estrategia natural para el control de Varroa destructor, integrando el uso de probióticos y productos orgánicos. Periodo de ejecución: Febrero 2014 ? Junio 2017. Institución Ejecutora: MEC/ IIBCE...Biblioteca(s): INIA La Estanzuela; INIA Las Brujas. |
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7. | | INVERNIZZI, C.; ANTÚNEZ, K.; ARREDONDO, D.; BRANCHICCELA, B.; CASTELLI, L.; JURI, P.; MENDOZA, Y.; NOGUEIRA, E.; SALVARREY, S.; SANTOS, E. Situación sanitaria de las abejas melíferas en Uruguay: novedades de la última década. [Sanitary situation of honey bees in Uruguay: novelties of the last decade.]. Sección: Revisión. Veterinaria (Montev.), 2022, vol. 58, n. 217, e20225821704. https://doi.org/10.29155/VET.58.217.4 --- OPEN ACCESS. Article history: Recibido 05 Agosto 2021, Aceptado 23 Febrero 2022, Publicado 20 Mayo 2022. -- Autor para correspondencia: ciro@fcien.edu.uy -- Publicación de la Sociedad de Medicina Veterinaria del Uruguay (SMVU).Tipo: Artículos en Revistas Indexadas Nacionales | Circulación / Nivel : Nacional - -- |
Biblioteca(s): INIA Las Brujas. |
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